🇬🇧GBP: 0.06% Additionally, if Leave proponents are looking to Greenland as an example of post-EU survival, they might want to reconsider. A recent poll from YouGov showed that, out of seven countries polled, a majority in six of those felt that more countries would choose to leave the EU if a Brexit occurred. Or Grexit? Previous: 6.1% Receive the best-curated content by our editors for the week ahead. Now eight more countries want to hold referendums to exit the EU – France, Holland, Italy, Austria, Finland, Hungary, Portugal, and Slovakia all could leave. Infographic: Brexit Timeline - The Path Ahead. Other countries which have been spoken of in the context of exiting the bloc are France and Germany. View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/GYwQsiztYu, Forex Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Traders in EURUSD and the Euro crosses would do well to look out for any signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead and leaving the bloc, particularly if the UK secures good Brexit terms with Brussels. Registered Address: 32 Old Slip, Suite 803; New York, NY 10005. Infographic: Is the Eurozone Entering a Second Debt Crisis in 2018? When Britain voted to leave the European Union in June of this year, it took us all by surprise. Expected: 10K By . Eligibility Requirements. Italy. Italians had 33 per cent Leave and 47 per cent Remain. Sixty per cent of those surveyed wanted the UK to stay in the EU, compared to just ten per cent that wanted the country to leave. The risk is deadly serious. These countries could be next now that Britain has left the E.U. At precisely 11pm on Friday, January 31, the UK left the European Union. “In that case, I think Italy would a candidate. Now, six more countries want to hold referendums to exit the EU; France, the Netherlands, Italy, Austria, Finland, and Hungary all could leave. In the case of the UK and Denmark, these opt-outs include membership of the euro currency. Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD May Fall Ahead of Employment Data, Crude Oil Prices Testing Key Chart Support Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting. This is a list of referendums related to the European Union, or referendums related to the European Communities, which were predecessors of the European Union.Since 1972, a total of 48 referendums have been held by EU member states, candidate states, and their territories, with several additional referendums held in countries outside of the EU. From Express.co.uk: France, Check your email for further instructions. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/SqoZuyVnKF, Heads Up:🇩🇪 Unemployment Rate (DEC) due at 08:55 GMT (15min) 🇪🇺EUR: 0.16% Since June 2014 it has been an official candidate for European Union accession. Traders in EURUSD [2] and the Euro crosses would do well to look out for any signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead and leaving the bloc, particularly if the UK secures good Brexit terms with Brussels. Core 1 states are extremely unlikely to leave the EU. Please see our Privacy Notice for details of your data protection rights. Inevitably, at the top of the list is Italy, which is currently arguing with the EU over its proposed high-spending Budget that the EU has already rejected twice. The risk of Polexit was acknowledged in November by European Council President Donald Tusk, a former Polish Prime Minister, who told reporters: “The matter is dramatically serious. Natural Gas Prices Bounce on Colder U.S. A recent survey showed that 40 per cent of Austrians want their own referendum on EU membership, while 38 per cent were in favour of an "Auxit". FX Publications Inc (dba DailyFX) is registered with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker and is a member of the National Futures Association (ID# 0517400). Temperatures, Will it Last? Check out our Merch: https://teespring.com/stores/tldr No matter which side you're on, most people can agree that Brexit hasn't exactly gone amazingly. “I also think that the next financial crisis will be too much for Italy to bear.”. No country has ever left the European Union (EU). When asked the 'Leave' or 'Remain' question to each country, the results showed the Britons would still prefer to leave the EU, by a 2 per cent margin, this time 45 to 43 per cent. Previous: -39K Find out why it has been given this nickname here: https://t.co/yOUVEEqhc5 https://t.co/DqWK9OwJOV, Commodities Update: As of 08:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Unlike the UK, Italy is a member of the Eurozone so any move towards the exit – Italexit or Quitaly – would likely have a direct impact on the Euro, which has been weakening against the US Dollar since mid-April this year. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. , the populist Eurosceptic EKRE party is gaining ground ahead of elections on March 3, 2019 and could become the third-largest party there. The EU was not always as big as it is today. However, it has been a “potential candidate country” since 2000 when it was recognized. is also in dispute with the EU, having been admonished by the European Parliament. 🇳🇿NZD: 0.56% France wants Britain to leave the EU the most, study of member countries shows. Advertisement So it’s probably one to watch. Apparently, if … Demand for a referendum and a successful referendum. TIMELINE. came very close to exiting the Eurozone – Grexit – in the summer of 2015, according to former French President Francois Hollande in an interview with Greek newspaper. It would retain the right to remain in the EU, should the British public and Parliament choose to do so. Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, at DailyFX we have many resources to help you: --- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor, Feel free to contact me via the comments section below, via email at martin.essex@ig.com or on Twitter @MartinSEssex. And a poll last month showed 58% of Italians want a referendum on their EU membership, while almost half would vote to leave. It has been engaged extensively with EU institutions like NATO. European Politics - Next Country To Leave EU Betting Odds. More countries might want to leave the EU after Brexit. “The question is who is going to be the next to leave. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-05, 🇭🇺 Unemployment Rate (NOV) Mr Farage on Wednesday bade farewell to his position as a Member of European Parliament (MEP) when British MEPs attended a European Parliament meeting for the final time. And he’s not the only one trying to work out who will exit next. The UK voted to leave the EU in 2016 and officially left the trading bloc - it's nearest and biggest trading partner - on 31 January 2020. “Of course, Denmark didn’t join in the first wave of enlargement and has always opted out of the euro and arrest warrant. Actual: 36.8K Despite being within the EU territories, Albania is not part of the European Union. Although unlikely, moves to expel it from the EU are possible. Now only 32% of Swedes want to stay, while 36% will follow us out. In a 2016 referendum held in the UK, a majority voted to leave the EU. “A poll in Poland last year said, for the first time, that Poles believe the EU has a negative effect on their lives. Australia eyes post-Brexit trade deal with UK in 2020 [ANALYSIS]. MORE COUNTRIES MIGHT WANT TO LEAVE THE EU AFTER BREXIT. Spain is the mother founder of the new Europe. Note, for example, that Ireland clearly falls into that category. Thus, if the UK succeeds to withdraw from the European Union, it will be the first independent country to have ever left the union. , the right-wing anti-immigration Sweden Democrats became the third-largest party in the 2018 elections, leading to political deadlock. “Who is going to be the first to join us and the other 170 odd countries outside the EU, trading with our neighbours but governing ourselves. 3. In recent years, some of Greenland's politicians and business leaders, eager to attract investment and diversify to escape the traditional dependence upon fishing, actually have floated the idea of rejoining the EU.. Forex trading involves risk. Today, Greece’s debts are still high and the view that Greece might be better off outside the Eurozone has never gone away. With EU budget talks breaking down on Monday night, there was, for a time, an outside chance that Greece would leave the euro. Posted Jun 26, 2016 by Martin Armstrong Brussels simply went too far. FRANCE could be the next country threatening to leave the failing European Union if a far-right figurehead gets her way. With the UK’s exit from Brussels completed, could Brexit have inspired other EU members to exit? In a 2016 referendum held in the UK, a majority voted to leave the EU. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Among them: Of course, this is all a long-term rather than a near-term risk for the Euro, but the chances of another country following the UK’s lead are certainly not negligible – and a risk that traders need to keep in mind. The UK had been an EU member state for 47 years before yesterday’s exit - but leaving the bloc had been set in motion more than three years ago. Other countries Eurosceptic politicians around the continent have jumped on the moment to lobby, and polling shows that some populations could definitely be persuaded. Previous: 25.3K While they will not be part of any new coalition that is formed, their advance suggests that anti-EU sentiment is rising there too, despite a survey showing Swedes are still overwhelmingly against Swexit. Hence, upon attainment of self-rule, 52% of Greenlanders voted against EU membership resulting in its exit in 1982. , which is currently arguing with the EU over its proposed high-spending Budget that the EU has already rejected twice. But in 1982, once that island had gained more autonomy, residents voted to leave the EU, wanting more control over their fisheries. 'Leave Means Leave' is a pro-Brexit campaign, holding a series of rallies and events across the United Kingdom. It joined the EU as part of Guadeloupe, an overseas department of France. Greenland became a member of the EU as part of Denmark in 1973. Get the best available European Politics odds from all online bookmakers with Oddschecker, the home of betting value. Here are some of the other nations that might decide to head for the exit door, or be ushered out of it. The London-based betting company William Hill is quoting odds of just 2/1 that Italy will be the next country to leave the EU and the spread – or difference in yield – between Italian and German government bonds has jumped this year to more than three percentage points on concerns about Italy’s debt burden. ... That alone is not enough to predict whether Danes would really want to vote ... "Don't leave … Czech republic and Italy are most inclined to leave EU other than Britain – but still want to stay by large margin While Matteo Salvini of the anti-migrant League, Italy’s biggest opposition force, has threatened to leave the EU, he hasn’t made that position part of the party’s platform. FX Publications Inc is a subsidiary of IG US Holdings, Inc (a company registered in Delaware under number 4456365). This is what happened to the last country that left the EU… On the evening of Friday 24th June, as the first day of mourning and celebration over the referendum result wound down in the UK, Jean-Claude Juncker gave an interview to German TV station ARD. The United Kingdom. Of Italy, Poland and Denmark Mr Farage declared: “They are the frontrunners.”, Read More: Farewell EU, bye woke Remainers, British democracy has triumphed AGAIN. Italians had 33 per cent Leave and 47 per cent Remain. The ensuing exit process is leading to online social abuse, street protests, gives licence to xenophobia, divides politicians and angers voters. It has. and the spread – or difference in yield – between Italian and German government bonds has jumped this year to more than three percentage points on concerns about Italy’s debt burden. We will use your email address only for sending you newsletters. Or it could happen Brexit-style. Core 2 states are very unlikely to leave, but more likely than core 1 states. Swiss Franc Analysis: NZD/CHF, AUD/CHF, CAD/CHF Levels to Watch. Which countries want to leave the EU Elsewhere, Greece came very close to exiting the Eurozone – Grexit – in the summer of 2015, according to former French President Francois Hollande in … The vast majority of EU voters want Britain to stay in the EU, a poll of 28,720 people in 28 EU countries has found. ’s government a “systemic threat to the rule of law”. Oil - US Crude: -0.12% Get top insights on the most traded stock indices and what moves indices markets. These activists want countries to see through it. Candidate countries must meet certain conditions to be part of the European Union. EU Referendum Chart Shows How Many Europeans Want Britain To Leave The EU. Even in countries like France and Italy – who are more Eurosceptic than most EU nations – support for the EU is at 74 per cent and 72 per cent respectively. EU snub: Which country will leave the EU next? This criterion is known as the Copenhagen Criteria.According to the EU website, new members are only admitted when they comply with all of the EU’s rules and standards, have the consent of the EU institutions and members states, and have the support of their citizens. It could weaken again if there are signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead. DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets. Find out more about top cryptocurrencies to trade and how to get started. However, it has refused to make significant changes to its high-spending Budget and could face an “excessive deficit procedure” that would lead to financial penalties. ROME — Just three years ago, in country after European country, populist politicians were drawing up plans to follow Britain out the door. Registered Address: 32 Old Slip, Suite 803; New York, NY 10005. Remainer brands Brexit ‘mental breakdown’, The show of solidarity Queen could make Europe on Brexit Day. With Hollande’s approval rating at about 11%, Merkel is lucky she is not tarred & feathered. Mr Farage’s prediction is for Italy, Denmark and Poland to be next to leave, saying: “The way the Poles have been insulted by the EU is probably more than they can bear. The article states that: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.21% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-05, Heads Up:🇩🇪 Unemployment Change (DEC) due at 08:55 GMT (15min) Some European Union countries have negotiated "opt-outs" in areas of EU policy they do not want to join. Among voters with the lowest educational profile the appetite for Nex… Previously only member territories have left the EU upon gaining independence. As a territory of Denmark, Greenland was compelled to join the EU when Denmark did. France, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Hungary could leave. The UK has finally officially left the European Union (EU), almost four years after its famous "Brexit" vote, and taken the British territory of Gibraltar out with it.Here's our updated map and list of which countries are in the EU, which ones are trying to join, and which European countries are in neither group. Saint Barthélemey is a French-speaking Caribbean island. 🇦🇺AUD: 0.63% The French nationalist party leader spoke of a Frexit. Silver: 0.51% Effectively, Italia Libera has demonstrated that it is possible to follow an institutional path to allow citizens to decide whether they want to remain in the EU or not – and for those who want to leave, now is the best time considering the massive decline in popularity for the bloc after their abandonment of Italy when it was at the peak of the coronavirus pandemic. Mr Farage told Parliament Magazine that Italy, Poland and Denmark would be next three countries to potentially leave the EU. Today, Greece’s debts are still high and the view that Greece might be better off outside the Eurozone has never gone away. is arguing with the EU over a controversial reform of its judiciary and in a recent poll a third of those questioned said they rejected EU membership. I do not think so. He said, “I really do not think the EU and its institutions will last”, going on to say that, even so, he hopes its demise will be “peaceful and sensible.”. “It is not an amicable divorce,” the president of the European Commission said of the Brexit vote. However, a poll published on Sunday by peil.nlfound a slim majority against holding a referendum (50% to 47%) but also, to Farage’s likely chagrin, a majority for staying in the EU (46% to 43%). The survey of 28,720 people in the EU’s 28 countries found that 60 per cent of people want the UK to stay in the EU – compared to just 10 per cent who want it to leave. Home of the Daily and Sunday Express. Elsewhere, Greece came very close to exiting the Eurozone – Grexit – in the summer of 2015, according to former French President Francois Hollande in an interview with Greek newspaper Kathimerini. According to Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage, Brexit will have a massive impact on the EU, with Mr Farage predicting the bloc will collapse “within 10 years”. According to bookmakers Ladbrokes, the odds on any other nation leaving the EU before the end of 2025 are 5/1. I love Europe but I loathe the EU.”, Mr Farage said the EU had realised the “UK is too big to bully”, adding: “If in ten years, what we have achieved is a catalyst for change elsewhere then I will be absolutely delighted.”. In the map, the darker the shade of blue, the more support there is in that country for the UK to remain in the EU. The EU remains the country's biggest export market. So far, the Italian coalition government – led by the populist League and the anti-establishment Five Star Movement – has been adamant that Italy will not leave either the EU or the Eurozone, with Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte telling journalists in October: “Read my lips: for Italy there is no chance of Italexit, to get out of Europe or the Eurozone.”. Next to leave the EU according to Betfair. US Dollar Volatility Spikes as GBP/USD Tumbles, USD/CAD Climbs, FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: Georgia Senate Runoff Elections; Eurozone & Mexico Inflation; Canada & US Jobs, Oil 1Q 2021 Forecast: Positive Momentum Heading Into the New Year, US Dollar, Yen and Gold Rise as Wall Street Stocks Swoon to Start 2021. Given it is already mired in debt, the government could yet decide that Quitaly is the lesser of two evils. Eurozone Debt Crisis: How to Trade Future Disasters. In this blog we now want to argue why extending Article 50 would also be in the interests of the other EU member states. Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages. Our guide explores the most traded commodities worldwide and how to start trading them. By pressing 'Subscribe' you consent to receive newsletters which may contain promotional content. European Politics - Next Country To Leave EU Betting Odds. And in Greece, where unemployment stands at 39 per cent, 75 per cent support continued EU membership. Next to leave the EU according to Ladbrokes. THE EU might be on the verge of a catastrophic collapse, as a prominent academic has suggested four countries could follow Britain out of the bloc. However, the United Kingdom (UK) is in the process of withdrawing from the union since it has triggered Article 50. The scores are calculated by subtracting the percentage of people who want Britain to leave, from those who want Britain to remain. A total of 59 per cent of Italians have a positive view of the EU, while 39 per cent see it in a … We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. Swedisheurosceptic party Sweden Democrats (SW) has issued a dire warning to Brussels, suggesting the Scandinavian country could very well leave … Even at its point of joining the EU, the public did not support the move. Traders in EURUSD and the Euro crosses would do well to look out for any signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead and leaving the bloc, particularly if the UK secures good Brexit terms with Brussels. See today's front and back pages, download the newspaper, But now, as Martin Armstrong notes, Brussels simply went too far. “In other words a referendum. In third is the Czech Republic at 6/1, and in joint fourth at 8/1 are Austria, Croatia and Slovakia. The ensuing exit process is leading to online social abuse, street protests, gives licence to xenophobia, divides politicians and angers voters. The survey of 28,720 people in the EU’s 28 countries found that 60 per cent of people want the UK to stay in the EU – compared to just 10 per cent who want it to leave. The three territories of members of the EU that withdrew include Greenland, Saint Barthélemey, and French Algeria. “I think I would probably at the moment put my money on the Netherlands.”. The group called for a national referendum to leave the EU following Raggi’s victory. Freedom to work and live between the UK and the EU also comes to an end, and in 2021, UK nationals will need a visa if they want to stay in the EU more than 90 days in a 180-day period. On Brexit morning, Nigel Farage suggested that the Netherlands might be the next country to quit the “dying” EU. Despite the survey's results, public opinion polls in the U.K. remain tight between those who want to leave the EU and those that want it to remain within the 28-country political and economic bloc. Lawmakers said it was becoming an authoritarian state at the heart of Europe that encourages nationalists across the continent to follow the same path, and voted overwhelmingly in September to label Prime Minister Viktor. EU countries, candidate countries and other European countries. IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 98.43%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 69.70%. Wall Street IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-long Wall Street for the first time since Nov 03, 2020 when Wall Street traded near 27,674.70. FX Publications Inc is a subsidiary of IG US Holdings, Inc (a company registered in Delaware under number 4456365). Gold: -0.01% France wants Britain to leave the EU the most, study of member countries shows. Brexit news: Will roaming charges go up after Brexit? Polexit is possible”. The Brexit Party leader also predicted that Italy, Poland and Denmark would be next three countries agitating to leave the EU. This is despite the fact that populist, right-wing, Eurosceptic governments have been in power for years in Italy and Poland, and yet threats to leave the EU have receded in both countries. However, now Brexit has happened, this will be switched around. It is only on the extremes of political thought that this idea has gained traction. 5 MORE COUNTRIES WANT TO LEAVE THE EU Oh boy, the globalists are running scared! View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/OYGBCbeomE, Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD May Fall Ahead of Employment Data - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/session_briefing/euro_open/2021/01/05/Canadian-Dollar-Outlook-USDCAD-May-Fall-Ahead-of-Employment-Data.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr $CAD $USDCAD https://t.co/HJOnKNiPMy, 🇪🇸 Unemployment Change (DEC) Find out more about the major currency pairs and what impacts price movements. National Front leader Marine Le Pen is bidding to become the next French pre… It is only on the extremes of political thought that this idea has gained traction. The Remain campaign, on the other hand, argues that leaving the EU (and its common market, in which Britain can sell goods to all EU states under … Angela Merkel must be shaking in her boots now that her super liberal, globalist agenda is going down the drain! https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-05, As the UK prepares for Brexit and Italy argues with the EU over its Budget, the. It was Spain who made much greater the rest of Europe with the discovery of America in 1492. https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-05, US Dollar, Yen and Gold Rise as Wall Street Stocks Swoon to Start 2021 - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/01/05/US-Dollar-Yen-and-Gold-Rise-as-Wall-Street-Stocks-Swoon-to-Start-2021.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Spivak&utm_campaign=twr, The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. Traders in EURUSD [2] and the Euro crosses would do well to look out for any signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead and leaving the bloc, particularly if the UK secures good Brexit terms with Brussels. Australia eyes post-Brexit trade deal with UK in 2020, Nicola Sturgeon will SKIP Brexit events - ‘Not thinking about reality', Brexit timeline in full: From the day Cameron calls referendum, Brexit VICTORY: What happens now as Boris frees Britain? When asked the 'Leave' or 'Remain' question to each country, the results showed the Britons would still prefer to leave the EU, by a 2 per cent margin, this time 45 to 43 per cent. Unlike the UK, Italy is a member of the Eurozone so any move towards the exit – Italexit or Quitaly – would likely have a direct impact on the Euro, which has been weakening against the, So far, the Italian coalition government – led by the populist League and the anti-establishment Five Star Movement – has been adamant that Italy will not leave either the EU or the Eurozone, with Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte telling journalists in October: “, Read my lips: for Italy there is no chance of Italexi, The London-based betting company William Hill is quoting, Italy will be the next country to leave the EU. Considering which countries want to leave the EU, several others could potentially quit or be ejected, although the chances are low. . Core 3 states are most susceptible to a leave vote. It would retain the right to remain in the EU, should the British public and Parliament choose to do so. Traders in EURUSD and the Euro crosses would do well to look out for any signs that other countries are thinking of following the UK’s lead and leaving the bloc, particularly if the UK secures good Brexit terms with Brussels. The report from Italian research institute Censis found 25 percent of Italians would be in favour of exiting the EU. MORE COUNTRIES MIGHT WANT TO LEAVE THE EU AFTER BREXIT. No entries matching your query were found. He said he will continue to campaign “all over Europe” against the EU in the coming months and years. According to bookmakers Betfair, again Italy is the most likely country to next exit the European Union at 7.2. Front National leader Marine Le Penhas pledged to hold a French referendum if … The UK departure will be a “hammer blow” to the EU according to the Brexit Party leader, who added, “and that is a good thing.”, He continued: “I want to stress that we are not anti-European. The United Kingdom. to help you improve your trading performance, earn how to trade like an expert by reading our guide to the, Feel free to contact me via the comments section below, via email at, How China-ASEAN Relations Impact SGD, IDR, MYR, PHP, Moving Average (MA) Explained for Traders, Top 10 Candlestick Patterns To Trade the Markets, FX Publications Inc (dba DailyFX) is registered with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker and is a member of the National Futures Association (ID# 0517400). They cross the line moving from an economic union to a political subordination of Europe. The EU27 would prefer Britain in the EU rather than outside. Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union, enacted by the Treaty of Lisbon on 1 December 2009, introduced for the first time a procedure for a member state to withdraw voluntarily from the EU. Express. Out of the 27 EU member states, the least likely to leave the EU according to Betfair are Malta at 50/1 and Luxembourg at 66/1. Speaking to Express.co.uk, Conservative MEP Dan Hannan said: “The question is not if Britain will rejoin the EU. Despite the survey's results, public opinion polls in the U.K. remain tight between those who want to leave the EU and those that want it to remain within the 28-country political and economic bloc. Actual: 4.4%